Win Probability

Math time, anon. Ignoring gas and fees, we designed this so the long-term Expected Value (EV) for every player and card is perfectly balanced.

TL;DR: The higher the Total Value Locked (TVL) on a card, the higher its chance to win. The bigger your share of that card, the bigger your slice of the loot!

How the Algorithm Picks the Winning Meme:

  1. Every card absorbs all player deposits into one giant liquidity pool (the Card's Total Amount).

  2. All 9 cards are weighed against each other based on their bags.

  3. A card’s win rate = (Its Total Amount) / (Total Amount of all 9 cards combined).

  4. All probabilities add up to 100% (1). Pure math, zero cap.

How We Distribute the Loot (Payouts): When a winning card is confirmed, here’s how the chads get paid:

  1. The Prize Pool: The Total Payout is made up of ALL the tears and deposits from the losing cards.

  2. The Split: Inside the winning card, the loot is distributed based on the weight of each player's deposit. (If you hold 50% of the winning card's TVL, you get 50% of the loser's money).

  3. Bottom line: Total Payout to the winning players = Total money lost by the rugged cards.

Last updated